MLB Prediction: Colorado Rockies vs New York Mets Can the Underdogs Defy the Odds on June 7, 2025?

Rockies Aim to Upset Dominant Mets in MLB Showdown

On June 7, 2025, at 10:40 PM ET, the Colorado Rockies host the New York Mets in a game where most odds—and expectations—heavily favor the visitors. With betting lines set at 3.4 for Colorado and just 1.35 for New York, the Mets appear poised to cruise to another victory. However, history shows that Colorado tends to keep it close when facing the Mets at home. The question is: can they hold out long enough to pull off an upset?

Head-to-Head Overview

These teams met just a day earlier, on June 6, with the Mets winning 4–2. Overall, Colorado has recorded 30 total wins against New York (16 at home), while the Mets lead the series with 42 victories (including 16 on the road). On average, the Rockies score 4.17 runs per game at home, while the Mets put up 4.88 runs per game—making this matchup intriguing, despite the disparity in overall performance.

Colorado Rockies Season Breakdown

The Rockies’ 2025 campaign has been difficult, with a 11–52 record through 63 games, reflecting a low 17% win rate. Offensively, they’ve managed just 3.14 runs per game (3.9 at home), while allowing a concerning 6.05 runs (7.38 at home). Over their last 10 games, they’ve won 3 and lost 7, scoring just 2.6 runs and conceding 3.8 on average. Despite their struggles, they’ve shown a tendency to stay within reach—especially at home—where they've covered a +3.5 run handicap in 8 of their last 9 matchups against the Mets.

New York Mets Season Breakdown

The Mets have had a strong season so far, sitting at 38–26 with a 59% win rate. They’re averaging 4.44 runs per game overall and 4.55 on the road, while allowing just 3.3 runs per outing (3.67 on the road). In their last 10 games, they’ve won 7, scoring 5.1 runs and giving up 3.8 on average. With a consistent offense and solid pitching, New York has the tools to control the game, especially if Colorado’s bullpen collapses under pressure.

Editorial Prediction

While the Mets are the clear favorites, recent head-to-head stats suggest the Rockies often cover the spread at home. New York may take the win, but don’t be surprised if Colorado stays competitive deep into the game. A smart betting move could be taking the Rockies with a +3.5 run line, especially considering their historical trend in this matchup.